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Poker as a Lottery

Doyle Brunson, two-time winner of the World Series of Poker main event, has likened a poker tournament to a lottery in which more skilled players (like himself) hold more tickets than less skilled players. This article works out the details of this analogy and provides some very general and very important results for anyone hoping to be a winning poker player.

Stephen Schulist
Thu 8 Jul 2021
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Scenarios IV: Planning for Disasters and then Dealing with them

In the aftermath of Katrina, Bill Ziemba discusses planning for the economic and financial effects of natural disasters.

Bill Ziemba
Tue 22 Jun 2021
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Monte Carlo Methods in Quantitative Finance Generic and Efficient MC Solver in C++

This paper describes how the authors have designed and implemented a software architecture in C++ to model one-factor and multifactor option pricing problems.

Daniel Duffy and Joerg Kienitz
Tue 22 Jun 2021
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Not-so-Complex Logarithms in the Heston Model

In Heston’s stochastic volatility framework [Heston 1993], semi-analytical formulæ for plain vanilla option prices can be derived. Unfortunately, these formulæ require the evaluation of logarithms with complex arguments during the involved inverse Fourier integration step. In this article, a new approach is proposed to solve this problem which enables the use of Heston’s analytics for practically all levels of parameters and even maturities of many decades.

Christian Kahl and Peter Jäckel
Fri 5 Mar 2021
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Arbitrage-Free CMS Valuation - Watch out for the Correlations

CMS swaps (and other derivatives such as CMS caps or spread options) have become increasingly popular products in fixed-income markets. However, although a number of standard valuation formulas for CMS products exist, they very often include approximations or assumptions.

Guillaume Aubert
Fri 5 Mar 2021
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The Irony In The Derivatives Discounting

In this Wilmott article, Marc Henrard discusses the impact on derivative pricing of changing the discounting curve.

Marc Henrard
Tue 1 Dec 2020
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CSA Caps Convexity Impact on Hull & White Calibration

Papaioannou shows how modeling jointly OIS and LIBOR using one factor guassian short rate dynamics allows to capture CSA-convexity on caps and measures its impact on LIBOR volatility calibration in the Hull & White case.

Denis Papaioannou
Mon 26 Oct 2020
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The Irony in the Variance Swaps

In this article published by Wilmott magazine, Elie Ayache will propose a rereading of quantitative finance where irony, as opposed to theory, emerges as a leitmotiv, perhaps even a main guide.

Elie Ayache
Fri 29 May 2020
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How the rise in data has led to a skills gap

The exponential growth in data is driving companies to look at how they can use new insights to their competitive advantage. Managing and analysing this increasing volume of data, using strategies such as AI and machine learning, has opened up significant skill gaps in the financial services sector. Which is where digital learning has a big role to play.

Randeep Gug
Tue 19 May 2020
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The End of Growth?

In this article published by the Wilmott magazine, former banker and author, Satyajit Das, asks if this is the end of economic growth and what a world of no, or low rates of, growth will look like.

Satyajit Das
Tue 21 Apr 2020

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